Economic research · Global white paper

Where Are AI Companies Being Founded? Evidence from ~30 National Company Registers

Matt Cortland (Prime Directive AI Ltd) and Dr John Fleming (AI researcher, University of Oxford), published by Inference Preliminary working draft, June 2026

(Global companion to the United Kingdom founder study. Same method, extended across roughly thirty jurisdictions. Figures use the survivorship-robust metrics throughout, the AI-named share of all formation, 2025 levels, the 2023 inflection, and official true-births; raw-count growth multiples are flagged as upper bounds.)


Abstract

We assemble newly incorporated company records from the bulk registers of roughly thirty jurisdictions and, for the United Kingdom and Ireland, combine them with the full persons-with-significant-control (PSC) and officer registers. We identify companies whose registered names signal artificial-intelligence activity and measure their formation against the contemporaneous population of all other new companies. Across every register with usable coverage, AI-named company formation rises sharply after the public release of ChatGPT (November 2022), with a single-year inflection in 2023. In the two countries where we hold the entire register, AI-named companies reach approximately one in two hundred of all newly incorporated companies by 2025, up roughly six- to eight-fold as a share of all formation since 2022, and the two registers land almost identically. The rise holds as a denominator-controlled share across about twenty countries (median roughly 4.5-fold), and is not an artefact of a general formation boom: official statistics show total company formation rose only about 1.2 to 1.4-fold over the same period. The companies cluster in the occupations an independent measure (Massenkoff and McCrory, 2026; Anthropic Economic Index) rates most exposed to AI, so the supply side of firm creation mirrors the demand side of labour exposure. For the United Kingdom we further characterise the founders: increasingly solo, younger, and owner-operated, with a structural break in 2023. All results are descriptive; the cohort is a name-based proxy and the analysis is bounded by register coverage.

1. Introduction

The labour-market debate about generative artificial intelligence has been studied primarily on the demand side: which existing occupations are exposed, and whether employment or wages have responded (Eloundou et al., 2023; Handa et al., 2025; Massenkoff and McCrory, 2026). We examine a complementary margin, firm formation, and ask a question with a hard data answer: since ChatGPT, are more companies being started to do AI, who is starting them, and is this a local or a global pattern? Company registers are the natural instrument. Incorporation is a dated, mandatory, near-universal record, and a handful of registers additionally expose ownership and control. We treat the population of newly incorporated AI-named companies as observable and compare it to the contemporaneous population of all other new companies, in each country and pooled.

Our contribution is twofold. First, we extend a single-country founder study (the United Kingdom) into a cross-country measurement across roughly thirty registers, so the post-ChatGPT rise can be read as a global phenomenon rather than a national one. Second, we connect the supply side (which companies are being created) to the demand-side exposure literature (which work AI touches), by mapping each company's revealed activity onto the occupational exposure scores of the Anthropic Economic Index.

2. Data

Our sources are the bulk company registers of roughly thirty jurisdictions. Two are held as complete national registers with a clean company universe (the United Kingdom, Companies House, approximately 5.7 million live companies; Ireland, the Companies Registration Office). For approximately twenty-four further jurisdictions we hold enough of the register to compute a denominator (AI-named formation as a share of all formation); for the remainder we hold the AI-named cohort only. For the United Kingdom we additionally use the PSC snapshot (approximately 15.5 million control records) and officer appointments retrieved from the Companies House REST API. Across all countries we classify companies' activity from their public websites using an automated scrape and a large-language-model classifier.

2025 is the last complete comparable year. 2026 is reported as a labelled partial year (January to May, like-for-like against the same window of prior years), never annualised and presented as a full year. Per-country data currency varies and is recorded in the methods appendix.

3. Methods

The unit. A newly incorporated company whose registered name signals an AI focus. "Company" means an incorporated legal entity, not a sole trader; every register is filtered to that unit for comparability. A strict definition requires "AI" as a standalone token; a broader "AI ecosystem" definition admits related terms (artificial intelligence, GPT, LLM, machine learning, deep learning, generative AI, Copilot, AGI, agent).

The name-based cohort, de-contaminated. Keyword tagging over-counts: in Romance languages "IA" collides with everyday words, "agent" sweeps in estate agents, "Ai" is a given name. Every candidate company in every country is therefore classified by a language-aware large-language-model as genuinely AI or a false positive, with a logged reason; only confirmed-AI companies are counted. Validation against an independent website-confirmation pass shows the classifier errs toward keeping (it rejects only about 5% of web-confirmed AI companies). Per-country false-positive rates are reported in the methods appendix.

The primary metric is the share. Wherever we hold the full register we report AI-named companies as a share of all new formation, which controls for each country's own formation trend and definition. Cross-country we compare the share multiple (each country's 2025 share divided by its 2022 share), which cancels the level definition; we report the share level ("1 in 200") only within the two clean company registers.

Survivorship. Most register snapshots, including Companies House, contain only companies currently on the register; dissolved companies are removed. Counting by incorporation year therefore counts survivors, undercounts older years, and inflates raw-count growth. The share is largely immune (numerator and denominator lose the same dissolved companies, so it cancels in the ratio), 2025 levels are near-complete, and the 2023 inflection is a step too sharp for slow survivorship decay to manufacture. Where an official gross-incorporation series exists (true births, including since-dissolved companies), we use it for any total-formation statement.

The occupational crosswalk. For each company we map its website-derived vertical to an occupation, and that occupation to its "observed exposure" score in Massenkoff and McCrory (2026): developer tools and infrastructure to computer programmers (74.5), marketing technology to market research and marketing (64.8), healthcare to medical records specialists (66.7), fintech to financial analysts (57.2), security to information-security analysts (48.6). The crosswalk is held in one place and applied identically to every country, so the exposure overlap is comparable worldwide.

4. Results

4.1 About one in two hundred new companies is AI-named (United Kingdom and Ireland)

For the two countries where we hold the entire register we can ask the harder question and answer it in two independent datasets:

AI-named share 2022AI-named share 2025rise (share basis)
United Kingdom0.075% (1 in ~1,330)0.455% (1 in ~220)~6.1x
Ireland0.060% (1 in ~1,670)0.464% (1 in ~215)~7.7x

By 2025, roughly one in two hundred brand-new companies is explicitly AI-named, up from about one in fourteen hundred in 2022, and the two registers land within a whisker of each other. Because total UK formation also rose over the period, the honest, denominator-controlled figure is the share rise (about 6-fold), not the raw-count multiple.

Figure 1. AI-named companies as a share of all new companies, 2022 versus 2025, for the countries where we hold the full register on a comparable companies-only basis. The United Kingdom and Ireland both reach about 0.46% (roughly 1 in 200) by 2025. The dashed line marks 1 in 200.

4.2 The rise is global, with a shared 2023 fingerprint

Across about twenty countries where we hold the full register, AI's share of all new formation rose a median of roughly 4.5-fold from 2022 to 2025 (range about 3 to 9-fold), with leaders including Norway (~8.7x), New Zealand (~8.4x), Chile (~8.1x), Ireland (~7.7x), Canada (~6.4x) and the United Kingdom (~6.1x). Because each country's denominator definition is constant year to year, the multiple cancels the definition and controls for that country's own formation trend.

Figure 2. Annual AI-named company formations by country, indexed to each country's 2018 level (= 100) so trajectories compare despite very different sizes. Grey lines are all charted countries; a few large markets are highlighted. The synchronised takeoff is in 2023, just after ChatGPT. Raw counts undercount older years (live registers omit since-dissolved companies), so read the steepness as directional; the share figures are the survivorship-robust measure.

The clearest fingerprint is the single-year jump from 2022 to 2023, immediately after ChatGPT: Ireland 3.5x, the United Kingdom 3.3x, Spain 3.3x, New Zealand 3.2x, then continued climbing to 2025. Roughly thirty very different economies, legal systems and languages show the same shape.

United Kingdom13.8×
Hong Kong13.1×
Spain11.6×
Chile11.6×
Norway10.6×
Ireland9.5×
New Zealand9.3×
Canada (federal)9.1×
Colombia7.8×
Argentina6.6×
Brazil6.2×
Australia6×
Japan5.5×
Belgium5.4×
Cyprus5.4×
Finland5.1×
France5×
Lithuania5×
Singapore4.9×
Czechia4.9×
Quebec4.8×
Israel4.2×
Latvia4×
Sweden3.8×
Estonia3.2×
Kazakhstan3×
Figure 3. The same uphill shape, country by country. Each panel is one country's annual AI-named formations, auto-scaled to its own range, ordered by its 2022-to-2025 multiple (shown top-right). The dashed line marks ChatGPT (end 2022). The climb repeats almost everywhere.

Absolute levels are not comparable across countries (registers count different universes); the share multiple is the portable statistic, and the level statement ("1 in 200") rests on the clean company registers. The full set of per-country series is also available interactively on the International and Countries pages.

Figure 4. Relative increase in AI's share of all new companies from 2022 to 2025: how many times higher the 2025 share is than the 2022 share. This like-for-like rise (median roughly 4.5-fold) is independent of how large each country's economy or register is, and cancels the survivorship distortion.

4.3 AI is not driving company creation overall

A tempting reading is that AI is spurring company creation broadly. It is not. Official gross-incorporation statistics (true births, including since-dissolved companies) show total company formation rose only modestly over 2018 to 2024, in line across countries:

CountryTrue company births 2018 to 2024Source
United Kingdom~1.27xCompanies House
Australia~1.34xASIC
France (sociétés)~1.42xINSEE
Japan~1.20xTokyo Shoko Research

Total formation grew about 1.2 to 1.4-fold everywhere, normal business-cycle territory, while AI-named formation rose several-fold. So AI-named companies are rising as a genuine share of a near-flat backdrop, not because everyone is forming more companies. The cleanest illustration is Ireland, a full-history register with no survivorship distortion: total formation flat (about 1.2x), AI-named share up 7.7-fold. As a scale marker, the UK AI-named ecosystem is now about 14 times the size of the crypto-named ecosystem on the register (about 9,100 companies versus 655), and unlike crypto it is still growing.

4.4 2026 is on track for a record

On a like-for-like same-window basis (January to May, each year), 2026 is already ahead of 2025: the United Kingdom formed about 1,772 AI-named companies in the first five months of 2026, roughly 40% above the same window of 2025, an all-time-high 0.524% of all new companies (about 1 in 191). Holding that pace, 2026 projects to roughly 5,100 for the full year. Twenty of twenty-one comparable countries are up year on year in the first five months of 2026 alone. The surge runs right up to the eve of the Fable 5 model release (9 June 2026). These 2026 figures are a same-window slice, not an annualised projection dressed as a full year.

Figure 5. Projected full-year 2026 AI-named formations by country. The solid block is actual formations to date (January to May 2026); the lighter block is the projected remainder, holding the January-to-May pace relative to 2025. Countries whose 2026 register coverage does not yet reach May are not projected (rather than shown as a false decline).

4.5 Who is founding these companies (United Kingdom depth)

Where the register exposes ownership and control (the UK PSC and officer registers), the composition of AI-named founders shows a structural break in 2023. These composition findings are robust to survivorship (they describe the surviving cohort, a fair sample of who is building).

Figure 6. United Kingdom: annual AI-named company formations (bars, left axis) against the solo-founder share (line, right axis). As AI-named formation multiplied (about 6-fold as a share of all new companies), the solo-founded share rose from about 68% to over 80%. Raw bar counts undercount older years, so the share is the honest measure of growth.
Figure 7. United Kingdom: share of founders under 30 at incorporation, AI-named companies versus all other companies, by year. The two series cross over in 2023. The 2026 point is provisional (partial year, incomplete date-of-birth coverage) and drawn faded.
Figure 8. United Kingdom: foreign-national share of AI-named company owners, by company incorporation year. This is the nationality of owners of UK-registered companies, predominantly UK-resident; it characterises who incorporates here, not migration flows.

The mechanism is straightforward: before ChatGPT, building an AI company meant a team that could train a model; after ChatGPT, one person with an API key can ship an AI product. The data shows the floor on entrepreneurship dropping, and a younger, more solo, more international cohort walking through the door.

4.6 Occupational exposure: the supply side mirrors the demand side

The single most striking cross-cut connects firm creation to the labour-exposure literature. Mapping the website-derived verticals to occupations and to the Massenkoff and McCrory (2026) exposure scores, every vertical that maps cleanly corresponds to a high-exposure occupation, with a count-weighted mean exposure of approximately 65%: computer programming (74.5%), medical records (66.7%), marketing (64.8%), financial analysis (57.2%), and information security (48.6%). AI-named company formation concentrates in the same occupations that an independent measure rates as most exposed to AI.

Figure 9. United Kingdom: AI-named companies by the AI-exposure of the occupation their product targets, matched to Massenkoff and McCrory (2026). Every cleanly mapped vertical lands in a high-exposure occupation (count-weighted mean approximately 65%). The 56% not cleanly mapped to a single occupation are excluded.

We read this as a supply-side counterpart to the demand-side exposure literature: people are founding AI companies aimed squarely at the work that AI most affects, in Anthropic's own occupational language. The correspondence is correlational; the two datasets are independent (the formation data is ours; the exposure scores are Anthropic's) and we identify no mechanism. The crosswalk is country-agnostic, so this overlap is available for every country in the study, not the United Kingdom alone: across the enriched countries, most cluster near 30% of companies in Anthropic's most-exposed occupations.

Lithuania
39.1%
Czechia
38%
Israel
33.3%
Quebec
32.8%
Canada (federal)
32.7%
Estonia
32.1%
Finland
31.6%
Sweden
31.5%
Singapore
31.4%
Romania
30.7%
Australia
30%
Cyprus
29.7%
Norway
28.8%
Chile
28.8%
France
28.1%
Ireland
28%
Hong Kong
27.8%
Spain
27.7%
United Kingdom
27.4%
Colombia
27.2%
Kazakhstan
26.8%
Belgium
26.4%
Brazil
26.3%
Japan
24%
Slovakia
20%
Argentina
19.6%
Latvia
17.2%
Moldova
11.8%
Thailand
0%
Figure 10. The same overlap, every enriched country: the share of AI-named companies whose product maps to an occupation Anthropic ranks most AI-exposed. Most countries cluster near 30% across very different economies, so the supply-mirrors-demand pattern is not UK-specific.

5. Discussion

The results describe a change in firm creation coincident with, but not shown to be caused by, the diffusion of consumer generative AI. The most parsimonious reading is that the technology lowered the fixed cost of founding an AI company, and that the marginal entrant under the lower cost is younger, more often solo, more often the sole owner-operator, and more often a foreign national. That the new firms cluster in the occupations independent measures rate most AI-exposed, and that the young cohort facing slower hiring into those occupations is the same cohort over-represented among founders, is consistent with entrepreneurship operating as a margin of adjustment to automation. We caution that this links two independent datasets and is not evidence of a causal channel. What the data establishes cleanly is the shape: a several-fold rise in AI's share of new companies, shared across roughly thirty jurisdictions, inflecting in 2023, re-accelerating in 2026, and specific to AI rather than to company formation in general.

6. Limitations

7. Conclusion

Since ChatGPT, the share of new companies that are explicitly AI-named has risen several-fold in every register with usable coverage, reaching about one in two hundred in the United Kingdom and Ireland by 2025, with a shared 2023 inflection and a 2026 re-acceleration. The rise is specific to AI: overall company formation was roughly flat. The new firms cluster in the occupations independent measures rate most exposed to AI, so the supply side of company creation mirrors the demand side of labour exposure. And in the country where we can see inside the cohort, the founders are younger, more solo, more international, and own what they build. The cost of starting an AI company collapsed, and a measurable, global, and still-growing wave of people walked through that door.

References

The occupational AI-exposure scores used in section 4.6 come from the Anthropic Economic Index; the concept of scoring occupations by exposure to large language models originates with Eloundou et al.

Data sources

Data availability

Aggregate, chart-level data underlying this draft is available in the project repository and on the International and Countries pages. Person-level officer and PSC records are not redistributed, as they constitute personal data and their bulk republication would exceed the relevant open-licence terms.

Methods appendix (to expand)